On 14 February, Kosovo held snap parliamentary elections which the main opposition party, the left-wing nationalist Self-Determination Movement (LVV), won by a landslide. The victory was historic, as it dismantled the hegemon of the two parties that have dominated the post-war landscape, namely the Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK) and Democratic League of Kosovo (LDK), neither of which will form part of the next government for the first time since 2001.
KOSOVO POST-ELECTION OUTLOOK
On 14 February, snap elections were held for Kosovo’s unicameral parliament. The vote was called following a ruling by the Constitutional Court which found that the incumbent government had been formed on an invalid basis.
Central and Eastern Europe Outlook 2021: Macroeconomics and politics
The world could be very different for CEE as the political landscape changes in 2021. Marek Matraszek, EPG Principal and chairman, CEC Government Relations, presented Real Asset Media delegates, at the European Outlook 2021 – CEE Investment Briefing, with a macroeconomic and political outlook for Central and Eastern Europe in 2021
2020 in review: Political instability in SEE
A year in review for SEE. Political change is hobbled and incumbents re-elected with diminishing returns. A year of change and adaption in unprecedented global circumstances.
US Post Election Analysis
As it becomes all but certain that former Vice President Joe Biden will become the 46th president of the United States, EPG’s US partner KARV, provides analysis of the potential scenarios, anticipated policy priorities and key issues likely to evolve over the coming months.
To know where we are going, it is important to understand history – An insight into the Nagorno-Karabakh ceasefire
On 27 September 2020, Azerbaijan launched a costly but largely successful Turkish-backed military offensive to recapture Azerbaijani territory occupied by Armenia around Nagorno-Karabakh. On 9 November, a ceasefire agreement was signed effectively refreezing the conflict to the disadvantage of Armenia. To understand this ceasefire you need to understand the history.
Serbia/Kosovo: US Economic Normalization Agreements
The United States has brokered Economic Normalization agreements between Serbia and Kosovo, whether this will have any impact is up for debate. The new agreement’s relevance to Serbia and Kosovo are piecemeal, which is likely to undermine their scope to deliver material benefits, and comes at the expense of the EU accession process.
Montenegro: Post Election Outlook
The ruling DPS-led alliance has lost its absolute majority for the first time since 1990, with the opposition parties winning sufficient seats to form a government; An internal redistribution of power in DPS is likely if President and party leader Djukanovic steps down as party leader after 21 years
The Pandemic in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe: Planning in a new normal
In Central Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE), several countries are experiencing an upsurge in infections, partly due to the premature lifting of the lockdowns that had been imposed with startling decisiveness.
Germany’s Presidency of the Council of the European Union 2020
The 13th German Presidency of the European Union comes at an historical moment, with huge challenges facing the European Union
French local elections 2020 – Second Round Analysis
The second round of French local elections took place in 4,820 cities on Sunday 28th June 2020. The results of these elections are a clear victory for the French pluralist left with a rise in ecological issues.
North Macedonia: Election Analysis
On 15 July, 2020 elections were held for the 120 seats comprising North Macedonia’s unicameral parliament. As predicted, the SDSM-BESA alliance, led by Zoran Zaev, emerged as the largest party, albeit without an absolute majority.
Belarus: Country Profile
Belarus is a post-communist outlier, shunning transition to liberal democratic capitalism following the election of Alexander Lukashenko in 1994. Since then, the investment environment in Belarus has been shaped by five primary characteristics.