A year in review for SEE. Political change is hobbled and incumbents re-elected with diminishing returns. A year of change and adaption in unprecedented global circumstances.
US Post Election Analysis
As it becomes all but certain that former Vice President Joe Biden will become the 46th president of the United States, EPG’s US partner KARV, provides analysis of the potential scenarios, anticipated policy priorities and key issues likely to evolve over the coming months.
To know where we are going, it is important to understand history – An insight into the Nagorno-Karabakh ceasefire
On 27 September 2020, Azerbaijan launched a costly but largely successful Turkish-backed military offensive to recapture Azerbaijani territory occupied by Armenia around Nagorno-Karabakh. On 9 November, a ceasefire agreement was signed effectively refreezing the conflict to the disadvantage of Armenia. To understand this ceasefire you need to understand the history.
Serbia/Kosovo: US Economic Normalization Agreements
The United States has brokered Economic Normalization agreements between Serbia and Kosovo, whether this will have any impact is up for debate. The new agreement’s relevance to Serbia and Kosovo are piecemeal, which is likely to undermine their scope to deliver material benefits, and comes at the expense of the EU accession process.
Montenegro: Post Election Outlook
The ruling DPS-led alliance has lost its absolute majority for the first time since 1990, with the opposition parties winning sufficient seats to form a government; An internal redistribution of power in DPS is likely if President and party leader Djukanovic steps down as party leader after 21 years
The Pandemic in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe: Planning in a new normal
In Central Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE), several countries are experiencing an upsurge in infections, partly due to the premature lifting of the lockdowns that had been imposed with startling decisiveness.
Germany’s Presidency of the Council of the European Union 2020
The 13th German Presidency of the European Union comes at an historical moment, with huge challenges facing the European Union
French local elections 2020 – Second Round Analysis
The second round of French local elections took place in 4,820 cities on Sunday 28th June 2020. The results of these elections are a clear victory for the French pluralist left with a rise in ecological issues.
North Macedonia: Election Analysis
On 15 July, 2020 elections were held for the 120 seats comprising North Macedonia’s unicameral parliament. As predicted, the SDSM-BESA alliance, led by Zoran Zaev, emerged as the largest party, albeit without an absolute majority.
Belarus: Country Profile
Belarus is a post-communist outlier, shunning transition to liberal democratic capitalism following the election of Alexander Lukashenko in 1994. Since then, the investment environment in Belarus has been shaped by five primary characteristics.